Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 2.486652e-05 2.977491e-05 0.000035 0.000041 0.000048 0.000056 0.000064
2025-06-01 1.782947e-05 2.385753e-05 0.000031 0.000040 0.000050 0.000062 0.000076
2025-06-08 1.378267e-05 2.035630e-05 0.000029 0.000039 0.000052 0.000068 0.000088
2025-06-15 1.083816e-05 1.758749e-05 0.000026 0.000039 0.000054 0.000074 0.000099
2025-06-22 8.351873e-06 1.493120e-05 0.000024 0.000037 0.000055 0.000077 0.000107
2025-06-29 6.265121e-06 1.242662e-05 0.000022 0.000035 0.000055 0.000079 0.000113
2025-07-06 4.579982e-06 1.017917e-05 0.000019 0.000033 0.000053 0.000080 0.000118
2025-07-13 3.566863e-06 8.819298e-06 0.000018 0.000032 0.000054 0.000083 0.000125
2025-07-20 2.869148e-06 7.864650e-06 0.000017 0.000032 0.000055 0.000087 0.000133
2025-07-27 2.389147e-06 7.218173e-06 0.000016 0.000032 0.000057 0.000092 0.000143
2025-08-03 2.270326e-06 7.301226e-06 0.000017 0.000034 0.000062 0.000102 0.000159
2025-08-10 1.845675e-06 6.602678e-06 0.000016 0.000034 0.000063 0.000106 0.000168
2025-08-17 1.194070e-06 5.229764e-06 0.000014 0.000032 0.000062 0.000106 0.000174
2025-08-24 7.895690e-07 4.282777e-06 0.000013 0.000031 0.000062 0.000109 0.000182
2025-08-31 5.535757e-07 3.692475e-06 0.000012 0.000030 0.000063 0.000114 0.000194
2025-09-07 3.735562e-07 3.155292e-06 0.000011 0.000030 0.000064 0.000119 0.000205
2025-09-14 2.228838e-07 2.569479e-06 0.000010 0.000029 0.000064 0.000121 0.000213
2025-09-21 1.132840e-07 1.993107e-06 0.000009 0.000027 0.000063 0.000122 0.000218
2025-09-28 4.671658e-08 1.482545e-06 0.000008 0.000025 0.000061 0.000122 0.000222
2025-10-05 2.056928e-08 1.197499e-06 0.000007 0.000025 0.000061 0.000124 0.000230
2025-10-12 8.806231e-09 1.007284e-06 0.000007 0.000024 0.000062 0.000129 0.000241
2025-10-19 3.744183e-09 8.849889e-07 0.000007 0.000025 0.000064 0.000135 0.000255
2025-10-26 3.130846e-09 9.203013e-07 0.000007 0.000027 0.000070 0.000146 0.000277